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Trade the News, Then Publish
It
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November 1, 2023 at 2:49 PM EDT
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By Matt
Levine
Matt Levine is a Bloomberg
Opinion columnist. A former investment banker at
Goldman Sachs, he was a mergers and acquisitions
lawyer at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz; a clerk for
the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 3rd Circuit; and an
editor of Dealbreaker.
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Journalism
[first day]
One thing that I think
about sometimes is the similarity between journalism and insider
trading. Consider: You are in the business of finding out things about
companies that nobody else knows, so you spend your time developing
sources at those companies who will tell you things. If their company
has a new product coming out, or is about to announce a merger, or has
been doing fraud, they call you to tell you before anyone else knows.
Sometimes they tell you things just because
you ask, and they are indiscreet. Sometimes they tell you things out
of a sense of public-spiritedness: They think that what they know
should be known more broadly. Sometimes they tell you things out of a
sense of grievance: They are mad at their bosses and want to leak
information. Sometimes they tell you things because you are friends: You
have done such a good job of developing relationships that your
sources think of you as a personal friend, not just a transactional
counterparty. Sometimes there is some amount of favor-trading
involved: You get information from them, and in exchange you give them
something that they want. Perhaps that is also information: You give
them news or gossip about their firm or industry that you got from
other sources. Or perhaps you can give them career advice. Or maybe
you just buy them lunch, or drinks. Maybe you pay them cash![1] Often,
of course, their motives are mixed; they tell you stuff out of
public-spiritedness and grievance and friendship and favor-trading and
carelessness all at once.
What do you do with this information? Here are three possibilities[2]:
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You work at a newspaper, you write up a
story containing your sources’ secret information, and you publish
it on your website and in your print newspaper.
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You work at a hedge fund, and you trade on
your sources’ information: You buy ahead of the merger
announcement, sell ahead of the accounting fraud, whatever.
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You work at a very small and odd newspaper,
one that charges $1 million a year for a subscription and that has
only five subscribers, all of them hedge funds. You write up a
story containing your sources’ secret information, you put it in
your newspaper, and you send it to your subscribers, who then
trade on it.
Option 1 is called “journalism.”[3] It
is generally considered a good thing — the public has a right to know
secret stuff, etc. — and in the US it is protected by the First
Amendment.[4] Of
course some of the readers of your newspaper will trade on what you
publish, but that’s fine; journalism can move markets.
Option 2 is usually called “insider
trading,” and in most cases, in the US, it is illegal.[5]
Option 3 is a gray area! It seems clear to me
that if you have one subscriber and a million-dollar
subscription, that’s insider trading: You work for a hedge fund, but
you have an obfuscatory job title. Probably at five subscribers it is
still insider trading.[6] On
the other hand, at a million subscribers and a $200 subscription, you
are clearly a journalist: Publishing a story behind a paywall,
to paying customers who get it before everyone else, still counts as
journalism.
Disclosure! Bloomberg News publishes many
stories to Bloomberg Terminal subscribers before they are on the
website. But that is still journalism.
I think that probably the dividing line
between “journalism” and “insider trading” is, like, some number of
subscribers? The number is not that high. I think that sending a
newsletter to 50 subscribers, 95% of them hedge funds, for $50,000
each per year, probably looks more like journalism than like
insider trading. Whereas five subscribers is insider trading. But I am
just making that up and oh boy is it not legal advice.
Anyway the
Financial Times reports:
A group of veteran US financial
journalists is teaming up with investors to launch a trading
firm that is designed to trade on market-moving news unearthed
by its own investigative reporting.The business,
founded by investor Nathaniel Brooks Horwitz and writer Sam
Koppelman, would comprise two entities: a trading fund and a
group of analysts and journalists producing stories based on
publicly available material, according to several people
familiar with the matter.
The fund would place trades before
articles were published, and then publish its research and
trading thesis, they said, but would not trade on information
that was not publicly available.
The start-up, called Hunterbrook, had
raised $10mn in seed funding and is targeting a $100mn launch
for its fund, according to two people involved. “Watchdog” was
a name floated early on for the news arm. …
In an early message to potential
investors, seen by the Financial Times, Horwitz said the
investment fund would get “unique access” to articles before
they are published. “Rather than try to predict or react to
events, we time trades on news we break ourselves,” he wrote,
styling the venture as “the first trading fund driven by a
global publication”.
The reporting team — which Horwitz’s
email said would include journalists who have worked for the
WSJ, BBC and Barron’s, as well as “intel analysts” — aims to
publish market-moving investigative pieces “like Bloomberg”,
but with no advertisements or subscription paywall.
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I don’t know! The two claims here are:
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You “break news” and “publish
market-moving investigative pieces ‘like Bloomberg,’” which means
that you employ reporters who get sources to tell you stuff
that is not already public, and
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You produce “stories based on publicly
available material.”
There is some overlap between those
categories. Sometimes you can, like, read a company’s securities
filings closely, notice something weird, publish a story saying
“Company X admits Y in its annual report,” and say you have broken
news and moved the market with your investigation of public documents,
without using “information that was not publicly available.” Or Freedom
of Information Act requests are a common journalistic tool that
can get you information that is technically public and yet known only
to you. You can buy a company’s product and take it apart and see if
it’s made of cobwebs. Other things. Still I feel like a lot of
investigative journalism involves calling sources and asking them to
tell you stuff that isn’t public? And then if you publish it that’s
fine, that’s great, that’s classic journalism. But if you trade on it
first, that’s riskier.[7]
Of course, there is another obvious comparison
for this model. What is, like, Hindenburg
Research if not an investigative reporting organization that
trades on its investigations before it publishes them? The whole model
of activist short selling looks pretty much like this: You try to find
public companies that are frauds, you investigate them, you short
their stock, and then you publish your investigation, hoping that it
will drive the stock down. Carson Block, another activist short
seller, “describes
what he does as ‘investigative journalism married to a different
business model’ and is trying to rebrand activist shorts as
‘journalist investors.’”
The risks of that model are pretty well known.
For one thing, yes, insider trading; some short sellers try to rely
mostly on public information to avoid being accused of insider
trading.[8] For
another thing, activist short sellers are constantly accused of
market manipulation: It is just widely assumed that, if you bet
against a company’s stock and then publish bad stuff about the
company, you are doing something fraudulent and manipulative. If you
publish stuff that is wrong, you will get in trouble for
securities fraud: Betting against a stock and then publishing
falsehoods about the company to drive down the stock is classic fraud,
and no one will be sympathetic if you say you made an honest mistake.
Even if you publish stuff that is right, people will be
suspicious. There is an ongoing US Department of Justice investigation of
activist short sellers, “probing possible coordination surrounding the
publication of short reports, looking for signs of market manipulation
or other trading abuses.” Is Hunterbrook/Watchdog's whole business
model a “sign of market manipulation or other trading abuses?” I
don’t think so, but I bet some people will.
* * *
November 2, 2023 at 2:33 PM EDT
Journalism
[second day]
We talked
yesterday about insider trading,
journalism, and a startup hedge fund / investigative journalism outlet
called Hunterbrook, which plans to report big investigative stories,
trade on them, and then publish them. I want to mention a few bits of
follow-up.
First, I got an email from someone who
works at a financial firm saying[a]:
We’ve observed a certain very low-quality
source move stocks with low-quality takeover rumors. Given the impact
the source can have, we wanted to subscribe. So we sent them our usual
due diligence questionnaire that included the question “do you seek
out inside info,” to which they replied “lol yes of course that’s the
point” (paraphrasing). So of course then we can’t subscribe.
But they can subscribe
to the Wall Street Journal, and to the Bloomberg Terminal, even though
Journal and Bloomberg News reporters do call up sources inside
companies to try to get nonpublic information and then publish it. If
you work at a hedge fund, you are not supposed to trade on inside
information, and it is standard practice to make sure that your data
vendors do not give you inside
information. If one of your data vendors is a financial information
service that seeks out inside information, that’s bad. If it’s a
newspaper that does investigative reporting, that’s fine.
Second, I wrote yesterday about the line
between journalism and insider trading, and I suggested that the line
is probably some (fairly small) number of subscribers. If you find
stuff out and email it to five hedge funds, that feels like you are a
“consultant” and it’s insider trading. If you email it to 100
newsletter subscribers, 90 of whom are hedge funds, you’re probably
okay. Not legal advice!
A reader pointed me
to arguably the leading court case on the matter, involving Reorg
Research.[b] This
was not an insider trading case: Reorg Research Inc. is
a “corporate intelligence company” covering
bankruptcy and distressed debt, and it sent subscribers two alerts
about Murray Energy Corp. Murray “suspected that the unnamed sources
were some of its own investors who, the executives believed, had
revealed the information despite having signed confidentiality
agreements,” so it asked a judge to force Reorg to reveal its sources.
Reorg said, no, we are journalists, and New York’s Shield Law protects
us from having to reveal our sources. Many journalistic organizations,
including Bloomberg LP, supported Reorg, and a New York appeals court
agreed: Reorg was doing journalism. At the time, it had “about 375
subscribers who ‘manage trillions of dollars in assets’” and paid
“between $30,000 and $120,000 a year” for subscriptions. So the line
between journalism and insider trading is probably lower than 375
subscribers.
Finally,
here is Dan
Primack at Axios with more
detail on Hunterbrook’s model, which involves global coverage,
commodity and currency trading, and being very very careful not to do
insider trading[c]:
The key
here is that despite the involvement of media vets, including
on the founding team and in its investor ranks, this is
not a journalistic endeavor.
Specifically, the "researchers" will not be speaking with
sources inside of companies for the sake of discovering
non-public information and then trading on such knowledge,
because that would be a clear violation of securities
regulations.
Instead, Hunterbrook researchers will
need to rely on publicly available information, which likely
means the new ranks will be stuffed full of open-source, big
data journalists and individuals on the ground in geographies
with relatively little traditional media coverage. ...
Some investigations will focus on
accounting, much as do traditional short-sellers like
Hindenburg Research, but also into other areas of malfeasance
(environmental, humanitarian, etc.).
A story will then be prepared,
including fact-checking and legal compliance, before being
turned over to a separate investment team to determine if
there's a trade to be made before publishing.
One reason a story could publish
without a trade is that the researcher uncovered non-public
information (i.e., acted like a journalist).
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If the story is too good,
you can’t trade on it.
* * *
[first day]
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To be clear, reputable journalists do not
normally pay sources for scoops, and frown
upon journalists who do. Hedge funds do sometimes pay for
scoops. View in article
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There are, of course, many more, like “industrial
espionage” or “file whistleblower complaints with the US
Securities and Exchange Commission.” View in article
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I want to be clear that I am not making any
claims about journalistic ethics here. I think some journalists
would say that it is unethical, or at least frowned upon, to do
some of the favor trading I discuss in my second paragraph. (And
almost all journalists would say it is unethical to pay your
sources in cash.) But I think most journalists would be okay with
at least some of those things. It’s broadly acceptable to buy a
source a drink.
View in article
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Outside of the US, the law sometimes takes the
view that the public doesn’t have a right to know stuff that
companies want to keep secret, but the US is pretty pro-press.
View in article
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As a technical matter, in US law, this situation
is only illegal insider trading if the “tipper” — your source —
received some “personal benefit” for giving you the information.
If they told it to you out of pure public-spiritedness, you can go
ahead and trade on it. But this rule annoys people, and it is
applied pretty narrowly: Any minor personal benefit, career advice
or favor trading or even the pleasure of giving a “gift” of inside
information, can count as a personal benefit. In practice a
source’s motives will almost always be mixed, and it will be hard
for a defendant to win a case by arguing that the tipper got no
personal benefit. View in article
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I think the leading case here is Blaszczak, about
a “political consultant” who published research notes containing
inside information to a small audience of hedge funds. (Fewer than
five, I think, but more than one.) He was convicted of insider
trading, though his conviction
was reversed for other reasons. (Disclosure: My wife’s law
firm represented a defendant in this case.) View in
article
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Back in 2012, Felix
Salmon proposed that
the New York Times should sell access to its market-moving scoops
to hedge funds. If you assume that the Times largely gets its
scoops from sources who (1) give it material nonpublic information
and (2) obtain at least an arguable personal benefit by leaking to
the Times, then that seems *less* risky than this model, but still
risky. Having an extra step — not “the Times traded on it” but
rather “the Times gave it to a hedge fund” — creates some
deniability; the source/tipper might have gotten a personal
benefit, but she didn’t know that her tip would be used to *trade
stock*. On the other hand, if she didn’t know that her tip would
be used to trade stock, did the Times *misappropriate* it from her
by selling it to a hedge fund before publishing it? Does the Times
own the information, or does the source? These strike me as
puzzling questions. But in the Hunterbrook/Watchdog case, if the
whole funding model is “we trade on stuff before publication,”
then presumably a source would know that they’re gonna trade.
View in article
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Not
always. In a February article
about short sellers at the
Atlantic, Evan Hughes wrote: “Block and his competitors have also
used muckraking tactics that would be forbidden at most news
organizations: undercover work, paid sources, covert recordings.
They’ll spy on factories and trick security guards into revealing
precious information. Block maintains that if you want the ugly
truth, you can’t go in through the front door.”
View in article
[second day]
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Slightly edited for brevity, clarity and also
obfuscation.View in articles. View in article
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I
actually wrote about it here.View in article” View
in article
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As a guy who writes a column on the internet
based mostly on public information, I am not sure I agree with
Primack’s characterization of what constitutes a “journalistic
endeavor,” but you know what he means.View in article
View in article
This
column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board
or Bloomberg LP and its owners.
To contact the author of this story: Matt Levine at mlevine51@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for
this story: Wendy Pollack at wpollack@bloomberg.net
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