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Effort to measure increased influence of activism in M&A negotiations


The Simpson Thacher report referenced in the article below included the following chart of activist influence in M&A transactions:

For the full report, which addresses a broader range of activist trends, see


Source: Financial Times, February 9, 2014 article > companies > financials >

Financial Services


February 9, 2014 6:59 pm

Activist investors force higher price takeovers

By Ed Hammond in New York

Corporate America’s battle with activist investors is increasingly being fought across the deal table rather than the boardroom, according to new research.

There has been a surge in the number of campaigns to force companies to pay higher prices when taking over a competitor.

In the first 10 months of 2013, hedge funds pushed for higher prices in 14 takeover attempts, achieving success in 10, according to a study from Wall Street law firm Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett.

The increase in the number of campaigns – and their success rate – is pronounced: in 2012, only one of the four campaigns to lift the price of a target company was successful.

Agitating for higher deal prices, or so-called “bumpitrage”, combines the activist predilection for audacity with the traditional practice of arbitrage by investors, who buy into a target company in the hope of the shares being acquired at a premium.

Recent successful campaigns include those against the merger of MetroPCS and T-Mobile US last year and McKesson’s $8.6bn takeover of rival drugs distributor Celesio.

Activist investor Carl Icahn mounted a successful campaign during Michael Dell’s $24.9bn buyout of the computer maker that bears his name.

After months of public fighting over the future of the business with Mr Icahn, Mr Dell and his private equity backers bumped the price to $13.88 a share from $13.65 a share. Both sides claimed a victory.

“Someone like me is not going to show up in a deal unless it’s obvious that a company is being sold too cheap,” said Mr Icahn.

“Dell was different from a classic move just to raise the price of the bid; I was prepared to invest $4bn of our own capital to make a counter-offer because we thought Michael Dell was buying it too cheaply”.

The growing success that activists enjoy in forcing higher takeout prices also reflects the rise of the industry. At the end of 2013, US activist funds had more than $90bn of assets under management, up from $39bn at the end of 2009.

“Every deal that I am working on now, the issue of whether an activist turns up in the stock and starts pushing for a higher price is one concerning boards and management,” said Mario Ponce, a partner at Simpson Thacher.

“The six million dollar question is whether this will have a chilling effect on M&A,” said Mr Ponce. “It hasn’t yet, but the spectre of it is hanging over certain types of transactions and that could spread doubt.”


Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2014.



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