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The Shareholder Forum

Returns on Corporate Capital™

—- comparisons of company returns based on GAAP-defined performance measurements —-

 

produced according to defined methodology and specifications with data provided by

EDGAR Online, a division of Donnelley Financial Solutions,

from SEC records of each subject company’s audited statements

   

 

 

This website is intended only for the use of Forum participants in a private workshop project to define "Returns on Corporate Capital."

 

 

For a subsequent news column addressing the progress of the workshop reported below, see

 

To download a printable copy of this report, click here.

Forum Report: Requested new program and workshop for “metrics”

Measuring Comparative Results of Buybacks and Reinvestment

While questions about the best way to measure “Returns on Corporate Capital” (“ROCC”) continue to engage the experts participating in the Forum’s workshop for “metrics,”[1] we have been making good progress in developing a simple analytical model that can be broadly used to compare the results of buybacks with a company’s reinvestment of capital in its production of goods and services.

Observations of some of the workshop participants have encouraged our analysis of buybacks as measured not only by earnings per share, but also by total corporate earnings and stockholders’ equity. This will allow us to address the interests of investors who focus on current market pricing of securities as well as on the interests of value investors and others concerned with capital commitments based on the long term intrinsic value of a corporate enterprise.

A test version of a very basic analytical tool pictured below has been posted on a “Buyback Analysis” page of the Forum’s workshop website for your review:

You will see that the website tool allows inputs of assumptions in shaded cells for key variables that may be relevant to a preliminary review of a buyback proposal. It should be emphasized, though, that this very simple analysis is intended only for an initial assessment and is not a substitute for the more rigorous analyses required for professional corporate finance and securities valuation purposes.

Your advice regarding foundations for assumptions will also be appreciated. As indicated in a note on the Buyback Analysis website, the Forum’s Returns on Corporate Capital (“ROCC”) resource can serve as a source of specific corporate and industry data for this purpose. The ROCC report’s five year average rate of return for a company’s industry, for example, could be used as the input assumption in the Buyback Analysis for reinvestment rate of return to establish a threshold “mediocrity standard” justifying management’s continuing responsibility for corporate capital, since any projections of long term returns below that industry average would presumably suggest board duties to either replace management or liquidate – possibly by means of stock buybacks, of course.

Thanks are owed to all the workshop participants who helped to develop this analytical model, and especially to Robert L. Colby of Corequity for his brilliantly simple observation that each dollar used for a buyback produces a one-time increase in the proportion of earnings allocated to each outstanding share, while the dollar used in production generates compounding increases in capital for reinvestment.[2]

GL – August 11, 2016

Gary Lutin

Chairman, The Shareholder Forum

575 Madison Avenue, New York, New York 10022

Tel: 212-605-0335

Email: gl@shareholderforum.com

 

 

 

Permission is granted to republish images of the graphs of Returns on Corporate Capital as presented on this website with their full statements of source and copyright information, or as otherwise specifically approved to satisfactorily describe the analysis and sources, and to respect the intellectual property rights of both the Shareholder Forum and its cited contributors of research.

Information requests and suggestions of research applications for Returns on Corporate Capital or variations of the analysis can be addressed to the Shareholder Forum at rocc@shareholderforum.com.

 

The information provided to Forum participants is intended for their private reference, and permission has not been granted for the republishing of any copyrighted material other than as specifically stated. The material presented on this web site is the responsibility of Gary Lutin, as chairman of the Shareholder Forum.

Shareholder Forum™ is a trademark owned by The Shareholder Forum, Inc., for the programs conducted since 1999 to support investor access to decision-making information. It should be noted that we have no responsibility for the services that Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc., introduced for review in the Forum's 2010 "E-Meetings" program and has since been offering with the “Shareholder Forum” name, and we have asked Broadridge to use a different name that does not suggest our support or endorsement.